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Analysts Move New York Governor’s Race from ‘Lean Democrat’ to ‘Toss Up’

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Analysts at RealClearPolitics, who predict the probable outcomes of elections, moved New York’s gubernatorial race from “Lean Democrat” to  “Toss-up” roughly three weeks before the election between Democrat Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin.

The rating change happened on Saturday, just over three weeks before the election. The polling comes as Zeldin is within six points of Hochul on the average provided by RealClearPolitics.

Zeldin is only 5.3 percent down from the Democrats, with the RealClearPolitics average showing 49 percent support for Hochul and 43.7 percent support for the Long Island Republican congressman.

The last three polls RealClearPolitics showed are a Schoen poll, Marist College poll, and Trafalgar Group:

  • Schoen, an independent poll, showed Hochul at 50 percent and Zeldin at 44 percent among likely voters.
  • Marist College poll showed Hochul at 52 percent and Zeldin at 44 percent among definite voters.
  • Trafalgar Group showed Hochul at 44.4 percent and Zeldin at 42.6 percent among likely general election voters.

Our race was just moved to TOSS UP by @RealClearNews! We have just 24 days to go until we FIRE @KathyHochul & save our state,” Zeldin tweeted shortly after the news broke. “It’s not too late for Hochul to come out of hiding & do multiple debates with me across New York, starting immediately!”

As Zeldin noted, he has challenged Hochul to as many as five debates ahead of the general election on November 8. However, it appears the two have still yet to agree on any.

Zeldin has accused Hochuk of “chickening out,” as the New York Post’s front page on September 30 was a picture of the Democrat — who the publication calls “scaredy Kat” — is in a bright yellow chicken suit.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at [email protected] or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.

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