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Edited by: Fern Sidman
New York City, long celebrated as a playground for the ultra-wealthy, is facing an unexpected shift as several of its billionaires drop off Forbes’ prestigious list of America’s 400 richest people. According to a report on Saturday in The New York Post, nine New York-based billionaires failed to make the Forbes 400 list this year, bringing the total to 18 over the last five years. While the city still leads the country with the most billionaires, these declining fortunes could have broader financial implications for the state’s tax revenues, experts warn.
Among the high-profile names who lost their spot on the Forbes list this year was Wesley Edens, chairman of Fortress Investment Group. Edens’ net worth dropped from $3.9 billion in 2023 to $2.7 billion, according to the information provided in The New York Post report. Cosmetics heiress Jane Lauder, granddaughter of the Estée Lauder legacy, also saw her fortune reduced from $3.4 billion last year to $1.6 billion today. The declines illustrate the impact of stock market volatility and fluctuating corporate valuations on the net worth of these high-profile individuals.
Even with this downturn, New York City remains home to more billionaires than any other U.S. city, with 41 residents collectively worth $517.5 billion, as Forbes’ latest data indicates. Los Angeles and San Francisco, by comparison, trail far behind, each housing just 15 billionaires. When measuring the total net worth of billionaires in each city, Austin, Texas, ranks second to New York with a combined $382.2 billion. Still, despite the Big Apple’s high concentration of wealth, The New York Post report noted that shifting fortunes could have significant effects on the state’s tax structure, which relies heavily on its wealthiest residents.
For New York, billionaires and other high-earning individuals represent a critical component of the state’s tax base. The top 1% of earners pay a staggering 14.8% tax rate, accounting for almost half of the state’s revenue, as per the information contained in The New York Post report. Jared Walczak, vice president of the National Tax Foundation, noted, “New York remains the financial capital of the world and is home to many generations of wealthy families.” He explained that New York City offers unique advantages that attract and retain wealthy individuals, such as exclusive cultural institutions, financial markets, and networking opportunities unavailable in other cities.
However, experts caution that this reliance on ultra-wealthy individuals for revenue is precarious. Ken Girardin, research director at the Empire Center for Public Policy, told The New York Post, “This is extremely volatile revenue that can dry up quickly and with little warning.” He emphasized that New York has grown reliant on a steady, and even increasing, influx of income from its top earners to fund costly and expansive programs, such as public schools, Medicaid, and mass transit systems.
The fluctuation in billionaire rankings and wealth levels stems primarily from the volatile nature of stock markets and corporate valuations. As sectors experience ups and downs, the net worth of prominent figures in finance, technology, and consumer industries often mirrors these shifts. The New York Post report offered the example of Jim Simons, an influential investor who passed away recently, resulting in the removal of his fortune from the Forbes 400 list. Others have faced declines in their wealth due to stock market corrections or drops in company valuations.
As the Forbes 400 list reflects an ongoing reshuffle among America’s richest, New York is poised to feel the effects of these economic shifts firsthand. Despite its status as a financial powerhouse, the city and state’s dependence on billionaires for revenue could place them in a vulnerable position. The New York Post report explained that while these ultra-wealthy residents contribute significantly to the state’s economy, their fortunes can be unpredictable, posing challenges for long-term fiscal planning.
According to report in The New York Post, prominent figures including investor and Washington Commanders owner Josh Harris, hedge fund manager Daniel Och, and investor Carl Icahn have relocated to tax-friendly Florida in recent years.
Girardin cautioned that New York’s dependence on high earners has made its fiscal health extremely vulnerable. “Albany will eventually face a painful reckoning as the political class keeps demanding more revenue from taxpayers rather than better outputs from its own operations,” he told The New York Post.
Another pressing concern, The New York Post reported, is that high-income New Yorkers are increasingly able to work from anywhere, giving them the flexibility to move to states with lower tax burdens. Girardin described this shift as a “dangerous game” for New York, as more residents find it feasible to escape the high taxes and challenging quality-of-life issues in New York, as was revealed in The New York Post report. The pandemic accelerated the remote work trend, allowing more of New York’s top earners to consider options outside the city without risking their income or careers.
NYC-based supermarket mogul John Catsimatidis, worth an estimated $4.5 billion, spoke candidly to The New York Post about the reasons he believes more affluent New Yorkers are fleeing to Florida. “The quality of life in Florida is much better because they don’t have a woke culture and law enforcement,” he said, alluding to both social dynamics and public safety concerns that he believes are adding to New York’s tax woes. Catsimatidis pointed to sky-high taxes and a deteriorating quality of life as key drivers for the exodus among his fellow magnates.
Beyond the immediate budget concerns, the outflow of wealthy New Yorkers raises deeper questions about the state’s public services and fiscal policies. Girardin points out that while New York’s leaders have continued to demand more revenue from taxpayers, they have yet to seek more efficient outputs from government operations, such as public education and transit, The New York Post reported. This pattern, he argues, is unsustainable, especially as other states become more appealing alternatives for New York’s highest earners.
The exodus of billionaires such as Josh Harris, Daniel Och, and Carl Icahn reflects a larger trend among high-net-worth individuals looking to minimize tax burdens and improve their quality of life. States such as Florida, with no state income tax and fewer regulatory burdens, are becoming increasingly attractive to those seeking to escape the pressures of New York’s financial demands.
New York faces a complex challenge: balancing the need to retain its top earners, who contribute significantly to the state’s revenue, while addressing high service costs and tax demands. The report in The New York Post said that if current trends persist, New York may face what Girardin calls a “painful reckoning,” one that will require more than just shifting financial burdens but rather a reevaluation of how the state approaches spending and taxation.
The question remains whether New York will be able to adapt to this shifting landscape or if the exodus of its wealthiest residents will continue to drain its coffers, ultimately impacting the services and infrastructure that millions of New Yorkers rely on.
